You may still remember the rise of garlic in 2010. At that time, the planting area of garlic was greatly reduced under the extremely low price for several consecutive years. In addition, the special weather caused the decline in production, and inflation made the price of garlic more expensive than pork. Other vegetable varieties also rose in price.
Today, although the trajectory of garlic price increase is somewhat similar, the external environment and conditions have changed. First, the current garlic planting area is much larger than that of more than ten years ago; second, garlic trading is relatively rational, and it is difficult to see the crazy pursuit of price increase in previous years; finally, in the past two years, the price of agricultural products has been stable and slightly decreased, with small fluctuations as the main trend.
Some people are not optimistic about the current garlic market and predict that the price of garlic will continue to fall and fluctuate sharply. Some people have too high expectations and speculate that the price will be higher in the future.
So how is the recent purchase of garlic?
In the past two days, the market trading atmosphere in the garlic producing area has been relatively quiet, and the transaction volume outside the warehouse has decreased. The garlic trading market is deserted, with ordinary mixed grades priced at 3.80-3.85 yuan/jin, medium mixed grades priced at 3.90-4.02 yuan/jin, and large mixed grades priced at 4.02-4.30 yuan/jin. There is very little supply in Shengda Market in Qi County, which may be related to the rainy weather. The price of dehydrated garlic is about 2.80 yuan/jin, the price of garlic rice is about 3.70 yuan/jin, and the price of large mixed grade is about 4.15 yuan/jin. The overall market is not hot. Some collectors have stopped collecting or are waiting and watching, and there are almost no new collectors.
But the vendors are still very active in grabbing goods. Once there is news of selling goods, they will move. Garlic farmers are always unwilling to give in to the price, and the price is not much lower than the market. It is not easy to find garlic in the countryside, and it is not easy to make money from the price difference of garlic. What should I do if the newly picked goods cannot be sold at a high price in the market? Taking the goods home has become the choice of some people.
Why do vendors stock up?
Garlic prices show signs of correction and cannot be sold at a high price in the market. Garlic vendors are an important link in the circulation of garlic, playing the role of a link and bridge. In the daily search process, garlic vendors found that farmers' garlic was disappearing at an alarming rate, and there was not much garlic left in the countryside. This group of garlic farmers who are most down-to-earth saw the business opportunity, so some of them chose to stock up.
Will the storage and purchase merchants continue to purchase? The storage and purchase merchants are not impatient at all, and they are all in a wait-and-see mood. Some have stopped or slowed down their purchases, some have ordered cold storage but have not received the goods, and some have already stockpiled half of the goods. They are generally pessimistic about the future market. Some are frightened by the recent data of the warehouse, and some feel the pressure of falling prices. It is an inevitable choice for human nature to stop losses in time after realizing the risks.
The market is the best teacher, and there is no very stable market. The high point of garlic prices this year will appear in July and August. Although it is not certain whether the highest point has appeared, garlic farmers and garlic merchants who sell goods during this period are undoubtedly the safest. In the upward trend, not selling at the highest point, but only selling at the second highest point, is undoubtedly the least risky.